Colorado Politics

Lauren’s lesson — if at first you don’t succeed, carpetbag | BIDLACK

Hal Bidlack

Well, as I’m sure you have been talking about, Colorado’s national embarrassment, U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert, has decided she can’t win in her own district anymore. So she is going to pull up stakes in Colorado’s Third Congressional District, and will, at some point this year, move to CD-4, effectively abandoning the people who elected her to office. There, she’ll run against a bunch of other GOPers for the seat U.S. Rep. Ken Buck is vacating.

Though it may have happened in our nation’s past, the only other times I can recall House members moving and changing districts has been when districts are redrawn, and they no longer have a path to victory. Boebert isn’t running away from CD-3 because of any redrawing. Rather, she is running away from what must seem to her to be a sure loss if she has to face her own voters, given Democrat Adam Frisch is raising massive campaign funds and would beat her in the election if she hung around. At least, that must be her calculation.

So, if you are a fine, upstanding citizen of CD-3, are you being represented right now? It’s hard to see how Boebert can serve the interests of those who actually put her in office, given she now must find a way to sway the good people of CD-4 to vote for her, once her carpetbag arrives. Technically, she doesn’t have to live in the district she represents, although that’s the proper thing to do. But Boebert is running scared, and frankly, I don’t think she has a chance to win the GOP nomination in CD-4, due to all the negative press she has generated.

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Oh, but Boebert has an explanation. It’s the Democrats fault she is in trouble.

In her announcement of her carpetbagging, she stated, “My mission has always been and will always be to defend our freedoms and defeat the Democrat socialists and communists so we can take our country back, but that mission does not take place in a vacuum either personally or professionally.”

Putting on my old Air Force Academy political science professor’s hat, it is quite clear the GED certificate Boebert earned after leaving high school did not include any lessons on what socialism and communism actually are. Her name calling is, well, pathetic and shallow, as she clearly doesn’t know what those words truly mean. Boebert could stand to be reminded socialism is all around her, and she is a willing participant, every time she mails a letter, calls for the police or fire departments, or – gasp – draws a government salary. She supps at the socialism table every day, without a clue as to what she is actually doing. Oh, and there are no communists in the House. Perhaps her own position so far out on the right as to be radical and dangerous makes her think regular folks are somehow commies. Not so much…

In explaining her decision to cut bait and leave town, Boebert stated: “I did not arrive at this decision easily. A lot of prayer, a lot of tough conversations, and a lot of perspective have convinced me this is the best way I can continue to fight for Colorado, for the conservative movement, for my kids’ future, and for the future of this great country.”

Right…

Let me translate that for you: She did not arrive at the decision easily, but only after it became completely clear she would lose if she stayed home in CD-3. She is wildly unpopular with lots of folks in that district, who are tired of her pathetic antics, such as her recent public grope session (with a Democrat!) at a musical in Denver, where she groped, was groped, and vaped, and then pulled the “don’t you know who I am?” card.

No wonder her district is tired of her, but the Republicans in CD-4 are not naïve. I would bet she expects a Trumpian welcome when she shows up, perhaps to house hunt, in the district, but that isn’t going to happen. There are several strong GOPers already well into campaigning in the district, and a “new” candidate, weighed down by hypocritical buffoonery, won’t be leaping to the top of the polls.

Were I a CD-3 GOPer, I likely would be, at least at some level, relieved to be rid of Boebert. We’ll see how that primary turns out, and of course, in the general election it is likely to be much closer than, say, CD-4. The GOPers of Rifle and other cities in the district will now be able to pick from actual Republicans who are free of the clown cloud that’s enveloped Boebert.

After losing the GOP primary, Boebert will just fade away, with dignity. OK, I’m kidding. She might consider a third-party run, but most likely she will be swept up in the Trump campaign machine, which values only loyalty and not intellect or character.

Stay tuned…

Hal Bidlack is a retired professor of political science and a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel who taught more than 17 years at the U.S. Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs.

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