Colorado Politics

What are the real odds of a Hick presidency? Better than Kim Kardashian’s

For what it’s worth just months after Nov. 8’s day of reckoning, go-to online sports book Bovada has posted the latest odds for a wide range of prospective and, in some cases, purely hypothetical presidential contenders in the 2020 race. And our very own Gov. John Hickenlooper – yes, here we go again – comes in at 125:1.

For those of us not all that adept at betting (or at probability and statistics), read that as odds against. Put another way, Hick has roughly a .8 percent chance of becoming the 46th president in 2020. That’s eight-tenths of 1 percent. Or so Bovada handicaps it.

OK, so that’s just an abstract ratio, but how does it rank among the other presumed prospects? He’s a good way down the list.

As expected, there are plenty of prominent pols who do much better. Widely touted Massachusetts Democratic U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren gets odds of 8:1, which translates to about an 11 percent probability of sitting in the Oval Office. That beats the 18:1 odds against Hillary Clinton winning another White House bid. Clinton also trails former First Lady Michelle Obama, rated at 14:1. Vice President Mike Pence is 9:1; Democratic U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont is 20:1; Republican House Speaker Paul Ryan is 25:1, and so forth.

By the way, only The Donald himself does better than Elizabeth Warren in Bovada’s standings: 2.25:1. That’s a 30 percent chance of re-election; read it and weep, or rejoice.

Now, here’s the fun part:

It isn’t just boring, blah-blah-blah politicians who are on the list. For example, it turns out Hick’s 125:1 odds are tied with those of George Clooney. And why not? Clooney dabbles in politics, and as we all know, he finally has settled down and started a family. And bookending HIck is another Hollywood A-lister, Kevin Spacey, also known to espouse a political view or two. Spacey’s odds: 155:1.

It gets even better. Professional wrestling impresario Vince McMahon and the inimitable Kim Kardashian are tied with last year’s Libertarian Party candidate for president, former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson. They’re all given odds of 550:1. That’s about two-tenths of 1 percent. So, there’s hope.


PREV

PREVIOUS

Endorsements, pronouncements aplenty as state GOP race nears end

As if we needed a reminder that April 1 is right around the corner – not that April 1, silly; the election for GOP chair – the leading candidates are now giving it their best shot. Kind of like the end of a fireworks show. Hence, a mass email this morning from Colorado Secretary of State […]

NEXT

NEXT UP

Bill forging better military-community ties en route to guv's desk

Gov. John Hickenlooper soon could ink legislation to help combine overlapping services – like schools, restaurants, parks and shops- that are provided at military bases and by the local communities that host them. House Bill 1054, which was OK’d unanimously by the state Senate, was touted today in a press release by the Senate Democrats as “creating a closer […]


Welcome Back.

Streak: 9 days i

Stories you've missed since your last login:

Stories you've saved for later:

Recommended stories based on your interests:

Edit my interests