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? Independents shift support to Clinton in Colorado

By Mike McKibbin 10/18/2016 | updated 9 years ago

Independent voters likely to cast ballots shifted strongly to Democrat Hillary Clinton, giving her the lead over Republican Donald Trump in Colorado and other critical swing states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, and moved her into a tie with Trump in Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac University swing state poll released Monday, Oct. 17.

Clinton also had double-digit leads among women who said they were likely to vote and led between 28 to 76 percent among nonwhite voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll found.

“Some Colorado comfort for Hillary Clinton and Sen. Tim Kaine,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “For Donald Trump and Gov. Mike Pence, a cold shoulder and a mountain possibly too high to climb.”

When Colorado voters were asked which candidate they support among the two major parties, as well as Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein, Clinton tops Trump 45 to 37 percent, with 10 percent for Johnson and 3 percent for Stein. That compares to Clinton’s 44 percent and Trump’s 42 percent in a Sept. 22 poll.

Head-to-head match ups among all likely Colorado voters show Clinton tops Trump 51 to 40 percent.

“Since the last debate and the Billy Bush video, there’s been a big shift for Clinton,” Malloy said. “It’s just been a very bad time for Donald Trump.”

Independent likely voters in Colorado went 38 percent for Clinton and 34 percent for Trump, compared to a 42 to 33 percent Trump lead in this voting bloc in the Sept. 22 poll. In the latest poll, Republicans back Trump 84 to 7 percent, while Democrats back Clinton 89 to 1 percent. Clinton leads 52 to 31 percent among women and 52 to 24 percent among nonwhite voters, while Trump leads 42 to 37 percent among men and gets 43 percent of white voters to Clinton’s 41 percent.

The poll results came as Trump visits Colorado for two campaign rallies on his way to the last presidential debate Wednesday in Las Vegas.

“The independents, which used to be his strength, have abandoned Trump,” Malloy said. “He’s going to have to do something extraordinary Wednesday night.”

This random digit dialing telephone survey was conducted from Oct. 10-16, 2016, throughout Colorado. Responses are reported for 685 self-identified likely voters with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points. Surveys were conducted in English or Spanish, dependent on respondent preference with live interviewers calling land lines and cell phones.

 

Mike McKibbin

Reporter

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