Colorado Politics

Maybe what we ‘learned’ about Colorado on Nov. 8 is still up in the air

That’s one of the takeaways from a truly worthwhile read on Colorado’s political pulse this morning courtesy of our favorite alt-Denver news and info website, Denverite. Government and politics correspondent Erica Meltzer challenges some of the conventional thinking and prevailing assumptions swirling around the state since the election that was said to be a game-changer here as well as across the country.

For one thing, Meltzer reasseses the tantalizing Pueblo question that long has beguiled Colorado Republicans. Notably, is the traditionally Democratic, working-class, heavily Hispanic stronghold ready at long last to roll over and play red? …Or, not?

Was any Democratic weakness in Pueblo this time around really only a Hillary problem? Writes Meltzer:

Pueblo County Democratic Chair Mary Beth Corsentino told me a story: the Democrats had a booth at the Colorado State Fair with a cardboard cutout of Hillary Clinton, and one day, a woman walked up and punched the cutout in the face.

“I guess I should have picked up on that earlier, that people just didn’t like her,” Corsentino said. “I don’t know why people didn’t like her. I liked her.”

So, is Pueblo now up for grabs? Or, were the Democrats just saddled with a presidential nominee Pueblo couldn’t embrace (but could punch)? The answer, it turns out, is less straightforward than either party might like to think.

Some other, arguably contrarian insights-in particular, second-guessing whether the GOP really did romp and, if so, whether it necessarily will mean all that much over the longer haul-that Meltzer turns up:

David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies said he doesn’t want to be a “Debbie downer” to state Republicans-holding the state Senate in a presidential year was “an amazing feat”-but any real understanding of what happened in 2016 is months away, after analysts comb through precinct-level data to better understand which voters showed up and what they did at the polls. It’s not clear yet, Flaherty said, how much the election results reflect long-term changes in the electorate as opposed to the strengths and weaknesses of individual candidates and their campaign strategies.

And what does it mean that Darryl Glenn managed to lose by “only” five points when now-Rep. Ken Buck, who ran against Bennet in 2010, lost by just two points?

…And if we’re looking for trends, what do we make of Democrat Rebecca McClellan squeaking out a win for State Board of Education, giving Democrats control of that body for the first time in 50 years, in the same congressional district that re-elected Coffman by eight points?

Some of the Republican confidence came from early vote returns that made the presidential race appear closer – just two or three points – than many Colorado polls had shown in the weeks before the election. But in the home stretch, the polling was all over the place, and now that more ballots from places like Denver and Boulder have been counted, it’s looking like Clinton won the state by five points, the same margin as Barack Obama over Mitt Romney in 2012.

Hence, another takeaway-and a prevailing theme here: Let’s not jump to conclusions about just what it is we were supposed to have learned about Colorado in the aftermath of Nov. 8. Assuming there even was all that much for us to learn in the first place.


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The Hot Sheet – Your teacher might not be a citizen, Hick in 2020?, Colorado doctors are conflicted, what’s up with Darryl Glenn and … MORE

VOL. 01 NO. 194 | NOVEMBER 29, 2016 | COLORADOSTATESMAN.COM/THE-HOT-SHEET | © 2016   DENVER – As surely all of us (those who are not living entirely off the grid) have been reminded recently … Just 26 shopping days until Christmas! Mercy already. Black Friday, Cyber Monday, Giving Tuesday  Big Spending Every Other Day … Hold on […]

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The latest flap over political bias on campus, this time at UCCS...

…in Colorado Springs, once again pushes some of the usual hot buttons. At least, this time, neither side in this dust-up over race and discrimination-over who is the real oppressor and who is the truly oppressed-mentions the newly elected president of the United States. Not even once. Not by name, at any rate. As reported in today’s Colorado Springs Gazette, the campus […]


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